Early P4 Lead – Potential Bad-Faith Voting in Zelenskyy Suit Dispute
A significant number of voters in the ongoing Zelenskyy Suit dispute (Polymarket) have currently voted for P4 (“Too Early”), despite the fact that the event window (July 1 deadline) has clearly passed. While the final result is not yet confirmed, this early trend raises red flags and deserves community scrutiny.
Facts:
- The event (Zelenskyy wearing a suit before July) is fully over — the July 1 deadline has passed.
- Timestamped, credible evidence confirms the event occurred during the eligibility window.
- A vote for “Too Early” (P4) is no longer factually valid based on UMA’s resolution criteria.
- Continued support for P4 at this stage appears to be a bad-faith tactic to delay resolution or suppress payout.
Why This Matters:
A P4 majority in this vote would not reflect honest disagreement — it would indicate:
- Disregard for UMA’s resolution rules and finality windows
- Possible coordinated manipulation
- Abuse of P4 as a delay mechanism despite factual resolution
Even before the vote ends, this serves as a critical opportunity for the community to monitor, investigate, and prepare appropriate action.
What We Urge:
If this vote does finalize with a P4 majority, or if the behavior continues across other markets, we call on UMA governance to:
- Conduct a full audit of P4 voters
- Identify coordinated or repeat behavior
- Prepare slashing or removal proposals if bad faith is confirmed
- Reaffirm publicly that these tactics are unacceptable and will be penalized
UMA has taken corrective action in similar past events. It is critical to uphold the oracle’s credibility and protect market participants from ongoing manipulation.